Analysis of Lethality Linked to the COVID-19 Epidemic in Senegal from March to August 2020

Alyette Carêne Bondha; Jean Augustin Diegane Tine

doi:doi:10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15

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Analysis of Lethality Linked to the COVID-19 Epidemic in Senegal from March to August 2020

Alyette Carêne Bondha^*, Jean Augustin Diegane Tine

Published in World Journal of Public Health (Volume 9, Issue 1)

Received: 7 December 2023 Accepted: 2 January 2024 Published: 23 January 2024

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Abstract

Objective: Analyze the lethality linked to the COVID-19 epidemic in Senegal in 2020. Methodology: This was a time series analysis of COVID-19 during the period from March 02 to August 31, 2020. The study population was people tested by RT-PCR for COVID-19. The data was aggregated and published on the COVID-19 Senegal site. The data collected was analyzed using R software, for description and modeling with ARIMA and Prophet. Results: This study showed that the total number of COVID-19 cases recorded during the period studied was 13,611, a median of 3,740 was recorded on June 1, 2020; on average, 4810 cases were registered. New confirmed cases had a median of 79 and an average of 73.9 new cases recorded. 87.4 cases of death on average recorded with a median of 43. On average 19.3 serious cases were recorded with a median of 15. On average, 3940 cases were transmitted locally. March recorded the highest positivity rate at 13.56% with a sharp decline to 8.49% in August. A fatality rate of 5.71 per 1000 inhabitants in March and 20.87 in August 2020. The reproduction rate was 1.96 at the start of the state of emergency on March 23, 2020; this rate increased to 1.11 at the end of our study, on August 31, 2020. Conclusion: Predicted and actual data had shown a continuous record of new confirmed cases and deaths until the end of 2020. With no change, despite the measures put in place, the hope is that the vaccine can bring a solution.

Published in	World Journal of Public Health (Volume 9, Issue 1)
DOI	10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15
Page(s)	34-42
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

COVID-19, Confirmed Cases, Deaths, Transmission, Senegal

References

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APA Style

Bondha, A. C., Tine, J. A. D. (2024). Analysis of Lethality Linked to the COVID-19 Epidemic in Senegal from March to August 2020. World Journal of Public Health, 9(1), 34-42. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15

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ACS Style

Bondha, A. C.; Tine, J. A. D. Analysis of Lethality Linked to the COVID-19 Epidemic in Senegal from March to August 2020. World J. Public Health 2024, 9(1), 34-42. doi: 10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15

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AMA Style

Bondha AC, Tine JAD. Analysis of Lethality Linked to the COVID-19 Epidemic in Senegal from March to August 2020. World J Public Health. 2024;9(1):34-42. doi: 10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15

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@article{10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15,
  author = {Alyette Carêne Bondha and Jean Augustin Diegane Tine},
  title = {Analysis of Lethality Linked to the COVID-19 Epidemic in Senegal from March to August 2020},
  journal = {World Journal of Public Health},
  volume = {9},
  number = {1},
  pages = {34-42},
  doi = {10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.wjph.20240901.15},
  abstract = {Objective: Analyze the lethality linked to the COVID-19 epidemic in Senegal in 2020. Methodology: This was a time series analysis of COVID-19 during the period from March 02 to August 31, 2020. The study population was people tested by RT-PCR for COVID-19. The data was aggregated and published on the COVID-19 Senegal site. The data collected was analyzed using R software, for description and modeling with ARIMA and Prophet. Results: This study showed that the total number of COVID-19 cases recorded during the period studied was 13,611, a median of 3,740 was recorded on June 1, 2020; on average, 4810 cases were registered. New confirmed cases had a median of 79 and an average of 73.9 new cases recorded. 87.4 cases of death on average recorded with a median of 43. On average 19.3 serious cases were recorded with a median of 15. On average, 3940 cases were transmitted locally. March recorded the highest positivity rate at 13.56% with a sharp decline to 8.49% in August. A fatality rate of 5.71 per 1000 inhabitants in March and 20.87 in August 2020. The reproduction rate was 1.96 at the start of the state of emergency on March 23, 2020; this rate increased to 1.11 at the end of our study, on August 31, 2020. Conclusion: Predicted and actual data had shown a continuous record of new confirmed cases and deaths until the end of 2020. With no change, despite the measures put in place, the hope is that the vaccine can bring a solution.
},
 year = {2024}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Analysis of Lethality Linked to the COVID-19 Epidemic in Senegal from March to August 2020
AU  - Alyette Carêne Bondha
AU  - Jean Augustin Diegane Tine
Y1  - 2024/01/23
PY  - 2024
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15
DO  - 10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15
T2  - World Journal of Public Health
JF  - World Journal of Public Health
JO  - World Journal of Public Health
SP  - 34
EP  - 42
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2637-6059
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15
AB  - Objective: Analyze the lethality linked to the COVID-19 epidemic in Senegal in 2020. Methodology: This was a time series analysis of COVID-19 during the period from March 02 to August 31, 2020. The study population was people tested by RT-PCR for COVID-19. The data was aggregated and published on the COVID-19 Senegal site. The data collected was analyzed using R software, for description and modeling with ARIMA and Prophet. Results: This study showed that the total number of COVID-19 cases recorded during the period studied was 13,611, a median of 3,740 was recorded on June 1, 2020; on average, 4810 cases were registered. New confirmed cases had a median of 79 and an average of 73.9 new cases recorded. 87.4 cases of death on average recorded with a median of 43. On average 19.3 serious cases were recorded with a median of 15. On average, 3940 cases were transmitted locally. March recorded the highest positivity rate at 13.56% with a sharp decline to 8.49% in August. A fatality rate of 5.71 per 1000 inhabitants in March and 20.87 in August 2020. The reproduction rate was 1.96 at the start of the state of emergency on March 23, 2020; this rate increased to 1.11 at the end of our study, on August 31, 2020. Conclusion: Predicted and actual data had shown a continuous record of new confirmed cases and deaths until the end of 2020. With no change, despite the measures put in place, the hope is that the vaccine can bring a solution.

VL  - 9
IS  - 1
ER  -

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Author Information

Alyette Carêne Bondha

Institute of Public Health and Development (ISED), Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal

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Jean Augustin Diegane Tine

Institute of Public Health and Development (ISED), Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal

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APA Style

Bondha, A. C., Tine, J. A. D. (2024). Analysis of Lethality Linked to the COVID-19 Epidemic in Senegal from March to August 2020. World Journal of Public Health, 9(1), 34-42. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15

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ACS Style

Bondha, A. C.; Tine, J. A. D. Analysis of Lethality Linked to the COVID-19 Epidemic in Senegal from March to August 2020. World J. Public Health 2024, 9(1), 34-42. doi: 10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15

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AMA Style

Bondha AC, Tine JAD. Analysis of Lethality Linked to the COVID-19 Epidemic in Senegal from March to August 2020. World J Public Health. 2024;9(1):34-42. doi: 10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15

Copy | Download

@article{10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15,
  author = {Alyette Carêne Bondha and Jean Augustin Diegane Tine},
  title = {Analysis of Lethality Linked to the COVID-19 Epidemic in Senegal from March to August 2020},
  journal = {World Journal of Public Health},
  volume = {9},
  number = {1},
  pages = {34-42},
  doi = {10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.wjph.20240901.15},
  abstract = {Objective: Analyze the lethality linked to the COVID-19 epidemic in Senegal in 2020. Methodology: This was a time series analysis of COVID-19 during the period from March 02 to August 31, 2020. The study population was people tested by RT-PCR for COVID-19. The data was aggregated and published on the COVID-19 Senegal site. The data collected was analyzed using R software, for description and modeling with ARIMA and Prophet. Results: This study showed that the total number of COVID-19 cases recorded during the period studied was 13,611, a median of 3,740 was recorded on June 1, 2020; on average, 4810 cases were registered. New confirmed cases had a median of 79 and an average of 73.9 new cases recorded. 87.4 cases of death on average recorded with a median of 43. On average 19.3 serious cases were recorded with a median of 15. On average, 3940 cases were transmitted locally. March recorded the highest positivity rate at 13.56% with a sharp decline to 8.49% in August. A fatality rate of 5.71 per 1000 inhabitants in March and 20.87 in August 2020. The reproduction rate was 1.96 at the start of the state of emergency on March 23, 2020; this rate increased to 1.11 at the end of our study, on August 31, 2020. Conclusion: Predicted and actual data had shown a continuous record of new confirmed cases and deaths until the end of 2020. With no change, despite the measures put in place, the hope is that the vaccine can bring a solution.
},
 year = {2024}
}

Copy | Download

TY  - JOUR
T1  - Analysis of Lethality Linked to the COVID-19 Epidemic in Senegal from March to August 2020
AU  - Alyette Carêne Bondha
AU  - Jean Augustin Diegane Tine
Y1  - 2024/01/23
PY  - 2024
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15
DO  - 10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15
T2  - World Journal of Public Health
JF  - World Journal of Public Health
JO  - World Journal of Public Health
SP  - 34
EP  - 42
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2637-6059
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.wjph.20240901.15
AB  - Objective: Analyze the lethality linked to the COVID-19 epidemic in Senegal in 2020. Methodology: This was a time series analysis of COVID-19 during the period from March 02 to August 31, 2020. The study population was people tested by RT-PCR for COVID-19. The data was aggregated and published on the COVID-19 Senegal site. The data collected was analyzed using R software, for description and modeling with ARIMA and Prophet. Results: This study showed that the total number of COVID-19 cases recorded during the period studied was 13,611, a median of 3,740 was recorded on June 1, 2020; on average, 4810 cases were registered. New confirmed cases had a median of 79 and an average of 73.9 new cases recorded. 87.4 cases of death on average recorded with a median of 43. On average 19.3 serious cases were recorded with a median of 15. On average, 3940 cases were transmitted locally. March recorded the highest positivity rate at 13.56% with a sharp decline to 8.49% in August. A fatality rate of 5.71 per 1000 inhabitants in March and 20.87 in August 2020. The reproduction rate was 1.96 at the start of the state of emergency on March 23, 2020; this rate increased to 1.11 at the end of our study, on August 31, 2020. Conclusion: Predicted and actual data had shown a continuous record of new confirmed cases and deaths until the end of 2020. With no change, despite the measures put in place, the hope is that the vaccine can bring a solution.

VL  - 9
IS  - 1
ER  -

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